Convert Odds To Probability
Have you ever wondered what the chances of a team winning was based off of the money line for the game? That’s a key part of understanding money line bets. First, we have a simple calculator that you can use to plug in any moneyline (American style odds) and quickly get the fair market probability that it implies. We’ve also included a chart below the calculator for reference, and to see how favorites and underdogs compare.
Money Line Calculator (Implied Probability)
The following chart shows how likely a team is to win based off the odds. This is helpful in handicapping because you can see just what percentage of your wagers you need to win at each given money line in order to profit.
As far as I understand, so far the conversion that was used in the tool to visualize the force plot in probabilities space (link='logit') was an approximation that basically transformed the output value and the base value from log-odds to probabilities and then 'stretched' the shapely values between them, maintaining the log-odds scale. First, we have a simple calculator that you can use to plug in any moneyline (American style odds) and quickly get the fair market probability that it implies. We’ve also included a chart below the calculator for reference, and to see how favorites and underdogs compare. Money Line Calculator (Implied Probability).
The left chart is to be used for favorites, the right for underdogs.
Win % – Percentage of wins required to show a profit at a given money line.
For example, you would need to win 80% of all of your bets just to break even if you only bet on -400 money line favorites (over 80% to turn a profit).
Moneyline Conversion: Odds to Percentage Chart
Favorites | |
Money Line | Money Line |
-400 | +400 |
-395 | +395 |
-390 | +390 |
-385 | +385 |
-380 | +380 |
-375 | +375 |
-370 | +370 |
-365 | +365 |
-360 | +360 |
-355 | +355 |
-350 | +350 |
-345 | +345 |
-340 | +340 |
-335 | +335 |
-330 | +330 |
-325 | +325 |
-320 | +320 |
-315 | +315 |
-310 | +310 |
-305 | +305 |
-300 | +300 |
-295 | +295 |
-290 | +290 |
-285 | +285 |
-280 | +280 |
-275 | +275 |
-270 | +270 |
-265 | +265 |
-260 | +260 |
-255 | +255 |
-250 | +250 |
-245 | +245 |
-240 | +240 |
-235 | +235 |
-230 | +230 |
-225 | +225 |
-220 | +220 |
-215 | +215 |
-210 | +210 |
-205 | +205 |
-200 | +200 |
-195 | +195 |
-190 | +190 |
-185 | +185 |
-180 | +180 |
-175 | +175 |
-170 | +170 |
-165 | +165 |
-160 | +160 |
-155 | +155 |
-150 | +150 |
-145 | +145 |
-140 | +140 |
-135 | +135 |
-130 | +130 |
-125 | +125 |
-120 | +120 |
-115 | +115 |
-110 | +110 |
-105 | +105 |
-100 | +100 |
Spread to Moneyline by Sport Conversion
Have you ever wondered what the chances of a team winning was based off of the money line for the game? That’s a key part of understanding money line bets. First, we have a simple calculator that you can use to plug in any moneyline (American style odds) and quickly get the fair market probability that it implies. We’ve also included a chart below the calculator for reference, and to see how favorites and underdogs compare.
Money Line Calculator (Implied Probability)
The following chart shows how likely a team is to win based off the odds. This is helpful in handicapping because you can see just what percentage of your wagers you need to win at each given money line in order to profit.
The left chart is to be used for favorites, the right for underdogs.
Win % – Percentage of wins required to show a profit at a given money line.
For example, you would need to win 80% of all of your bets just to break even if you only bet on -400 money line favorites (over 80% to turn a profit).
Moneyline Conversion: Odds to Percentage Chart
Favorites | |
Money Line | Money Line |
-400 | +400 |
-395 | +395 |
-390 | +390 |
-385 | +385 |
-380 | +380 |
-375 | +375 |
-370 | +370 |
-365 | +365 |
-360 | +360 |
-355 | +355 |
-350 | +350 |
-345 | +345 |
-340 | +340 |
-335 | +335 |
-330 | +330 |
-325 | +325 |
-320 | +320 |
-315 | +315 |
-310 | +310 |
-305 | +305 |
-300 | +300 |
-295 | +295 |
-290 | +290 |
-285 | +285 |
-280 | +280 |
-275 | +275 |
-270 | +270 |
-265 | +265 |
-260 | +260 |
-255 | +255 |
-250 | +250 |
-245 | +245 |
-240 | +240 |
-235 | +235 |
-230 | +230 |
-225 | +225 |
-220 | +220 |
-215 | +215 |
-210 | +210 |
-205 | +205 |
-200 | +200 |
-195 | +195 |
-190 | +190 |
-185 | +185 |
-180 | +180 |
-175 | +175 |
-170 | +170 |
-165 | +165 |
-160 | +160 |
-155 | +155 |
-150 | +150 |
-145 | +145 |
-140 | +140 |
-135 | +135 |
-130 | +130 |
-125 | +125 |
-120 | +120 |
-115 | +115 |
-110 | +110 |
-105 | +105 |
-100 | +100 |